You said: “And a lot of Arsenal fans will say: While it was eleven v eleven, we were good. We held on well with 10 men, we were unlucky.”
Bingo, this is just what I was thinking when I heard Wenger's post-match whinge.
This is almost a perfect expression of the narrative fallacy.
“The narrative fallacy addresses our limited ability to look at sequences of facts without weaving an explanation into them, or, equivalently, forcing a logical link, an arrow of relationship upon them. Explanations bind facts together. They make them all the more easily remembered; they help them make more sense. Where this propensity can go wrong is when it increases our impression of understanding”
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan
Or, to put it another way, we always look for the explanation which confirms our prejudice.
The trouble with most Gooners narrative is that they must accept that Sanogo was there on merit, Monreal doesn’t leave a huge gap on the left, Ozil is a fantastic addition to the squad and Podolski is only useful as an impact sub.
If you don’t agree with all of that then how can it be purely down to the red card?