Originally Posted by Niall_Quinn
Main Event12:24
Half-marathon going ahead in Bath
The organisers of the Bath half-marathon in western England are defying coronavirus concerns, saying that the Sunday race will go ahead. It's up to the runners if they want to compete and additional hand wash facilities will be available, organisers say.
FFS.
They’ll be getting Big Daddy and Giant Haystacks out of retirement at this rate.
Which is going to tricky as at least one of them is dead.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/newsbeat-51706889
Not on NQ’s watch
959 cases in the Netherlands now.
800 and a bit more than known yesterday.
10 further deaths in the UK.
10 more deaths here just announced. All tested positive for the virus.
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All in their 70s or 80s with underlying health conditions.
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I'm wondering, how many elderly patients with underlying medical conditions die on a daily basis? It's not the virus itself that's killing people, it's the additional complications it is causing, particularly pneumonia. But does it follow that all deaths where the patient has contracted the virus are a result of the virus? Couldn't somebody suffering from pneumonia catch the virus, and in that case would that be counted as a death due to the virus?
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Approx 350,000 people aged 75 or over die in the UK each year.
https://www.gov.uk/government/public...ngland-in-2017
"The most common ‘other’ underlying causes of death amongst people aged 75 and older were influenza, pneumonia, and ischaemic heart disease (these causes account for approximately one-third of all other deaths). Deaths from ‘other’ causes increased in older age groups."
That was 105,758 deaths from "other" causes in 2017.
5.4 million people are aged 75+
of those, 1.6 million are aged 85+
So at a rough guess, the mortality rate for those 75+ with underlying respiratory conditions is around 1.3% - 192 per day. (loads of assumptions made here, but it's in the ballpark)
How does that compare to the current rate?
If, instead of telling us they are "guided by science", they gave us these numbers (even estimates) it would give us a real indicator of how dangerous this virus is.
Last edited by Niall_Quinn; 14-03-2020 at 02:42 PM.
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