I don’t know the Sun will come up tomorrow, experience tells me that more likely than not it will. Foreknowledge of any kind is an exercise in finite probability. If you see smoke rising from a dumpster, it’s possible there’s another explanation but 999 times out of a 1000 you’ve got yourself a bin fire.

I’m not patting myself on the back, I’m doing the opposite I’m saying City’s travails were rather all too easy to foresee.


I don’t know that Liverpool will come off the rails, and of course it’s certainly in my interest that they do so. But I don’t look at them and think “where are they going to drop points?”. I thought yesterday was conceivable that they’d drop points….not because I think Southampton are anything but terrible but as you’ve pointed out yourself there’s a difference between a fixture you should win on paper and how it plays out.

That’s why I’m still waiting for the other shoe to drop. Because the performances have been average. Honestly If you were to go away and watch Liverpool’s matches (not even all of them, just say the last four or five) don’t have to watch beginning to end…Match of the Day highlights will suffice and you come back and tell me this is a team that looks like likely league winners, who haven’t massively relied on luck….then I would actually take your view more seriously than I do now