We've 18 games to play = 54 points. In that context dropping 14 points isn't completely impossible - we dropped 9 in just three games last season.
That said, I realise it's only 14 points if spuds won all their remaining games, which i admit is extremely unlikely, but still, having seen the collapse last season I'm just not ready to say we're comfortably in top four yet, when it gets to 10 games to go, then sure.