
Originally Posted by
IBK
Yes - I agree to a degree with the contrarians...
1. Despite Arteta obviously preferring a January forward signing to compensate for Jesus' long term injury, it's clear that the club has prioritised long term planning over short term reactionary signings. For me, this is a question of balancing risk. Would a striker have increased our limited prospects of winning the league or the CL this season - probably. But long term, spending money and big wages on a forward who is of the requisite standard now would inevitably reduce our prospects of signing top talent in the Summer, and therefore elevating the team going forwards. For me, our reported interest in Watkins tells us that he was someone on the club's radar already (albeit not the top option). I think that if Villa had been prepared to let him go, Watkins would have been our principal striker for the next 2/3 years and we would not have made a further 'top' signing up front in the Summer. This would have been a risk, given his age and the fact that last season may have been his high point. When this transfer failed to materialise, it's clear that the club were not prepared to take a punt outside a long term target and I can see the logic in sticking to a long term plan over a short term one.
2. We are the second highest goal scorers in the EPL this season, behind only Liverpool. We were in the same position last season. Let's face it, in both seasons, Jesus (4 EPL goals last season, 3 this) was hardly a factor. I would not even be particularly surprised if Sterling ends up matching his tally - as abject as he has been. So I can see why the club has not been principally motivated by his injury. While I am sure that a 'top' striker is in the club's longer term plans, our present incarnation is a team that shares the goals around and I have no doubt that our ability to do so fed into the decision not to sign a forward in this window.
3. On our current model, Saka is an incredibly important source of goals for us. But while he is out until at least next month, Nwaneri is suddenly turning out to be a credible understudy for him. I can see how the club thinks that if Nwaneri can chip in with 3 or 4 goals until Saka returns, this internal solution is as good as a player like Tel (who is untested and will need acclimatisation to the EPL) and that hijacking the Tel loan to Spurs would potentially deny Nwaneri playing time.
4. Then there is availability. There was clearly noone available in January whom the club felt would elevate our level. It's easy to feel that any warm body will do, but equally it's easy to fall into the washing machine of buying out of desperation, or hope rather than expectation. The 'big' teams that have done so recently - Sp*rs; Manure; even Citeh this season so far and potentially Villa - given their respective league positions and performances to date - are not models that I want to see us emulate. I would rather prioritise long term improvement - particularly given our consistent league positions since 2022/23.
I believe that a forward signing was needed mostly to ease the burden on our exisiting players - particularly Havertz - and I agree that an injury to him would be a disaster, and not bringing in a reinforcement is a big risk. But let's face it, any further injuries to our key players would effectively eliminate our title prospects, new striker or not. I think that the club has taken the view that the league is most likely beyond us now this season, but top 4 (the absolute imperative) is reaslistic even given our lack of transfer activity. There is logic for me in Arsenal taking this approach.