We have already seen both the scenarios hit us hard this season. We may fluke this years title and I am fairly confident we wont because of our injury situation, our manager and lack of proper tactics. If I had to put an arbitrary number out there, I am 90% certain this stage that we will not win the title this year and that number is pulled out of thin air.
To me, the question is very simple: "Is Wenger going to make us a dominant team in Europe?" I see no reason whatsoever to think that he will, and that to me is unacceptable for an Arsenal manager. If he is not going to take us to where a club like Arsenal's size should be, then why are we persisting with him?