I don't think it's reasonable at all, but it does seem to be the way of the world.
Come on, dude. You work, right? You have colleagues, probably people you're accountable to. Is the organisation you work for a hive of competence? Are your colleagues beacons of aptitude and good decision making? Are the people who rise to senior positions the most competent?
Because that's a hard no to all the above questions in my organisation.
I'm in a very bureaucratic organisation where senior people routinely make terrible decisions. And, weirdly, there's no consequence. If anything that incompetence seems to be actually rewarded, or they leave for an even more highly paid job elsewhere. Getting into senior positions seems to be based mostly on the ability to speak the right way and network with the right people, and a confidence in their ability which is baffling given their record. The people who sit on high have no idea what's happens on the ground and that leads them to make poor decisions.
From the people I know who have left this organisation, things aren't better elsewhere. They see incompetence everywhere they look too. So incompetence isn't really a theory. It's most people's experience of the world. You can hear it in the Liverpool disallowed goal at Spurs. You can hear it all unfold, the lack of communication, the frustration when they realised what an utter mess they've made of it. Now maybe they're just very good actors, but I'd suggest a more plausible explanation is that they made a mistake.
And no, that doesn't mean there is no corruption, why does everything have to be so absolute with you?
But I'd suggest it's much less prevalent than you imagine. It's clear that money was exchanged before the awarding of the World Cup to Qatar, I've no doubt that sort of stuff goes on all the time. But I don't buy that all the VAR chaps have earpieces linked to their paymasters in Asian betting cartels.
But as I said, if you think you can interpret betting odds to predict results to demonstrate collusion or corruption then let's see the results.
I have an issue with it too. The lack of accountability is maddening. I'm not sure what can actually be done about it though.I have an issue with such reliably incompetent individuals prospering instead of being held to account, if we take the perpetually naive angle on their behaviour.